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The race for Mexican federal, state and local elections, which will be held on June 2, 2024, is marked by threats and deaths: The consulting firm Data Int has recorded the murder of 20 people who were seeking a popular elected position. Overall, it has documented 76 deaths potentially related to the elections.
Similarly, 23 presidential candidates, including three, have requested protection from the Mexican government in the wake of violence on the way to the elections.
“Extremely turbulent election environment”
“Today, it seems to me that the most relevant and worrying aspect of these elections is, without a doubt, insecurity and violence,” says Dr. Rosa María Miron Lins, a professor-researcher at the National Autonomous University of Mexico.
In statements to DW, the academic reminds that the presidential campaign only began on March 1 and emphasizes the worrying number of candidates killed, more than a month after the campaign began at the state and municipal level. There is time left. “The election environment is very mixed,” he says.
Mega Election Day: More than 20,000 public posts
There have never been such big elections in the country, in which more than 20,000 public posts will be up for election: apart from the presidency, the Congress and nine state governments will be renewed. In the graph, we also show the types of charges disputed in the 32 Mexican states.
approximately 100 million Mexican voters
The National Electoral Institute (INE), the body responsible for organizing the mega electoral day, reports that approximately 98 million Mexican men and women are registered to exercise the right to vote in the national territory.
The minimum legal age for voting is 18, and on this occasion, approximately 15 million citizens will go to the polls for the first time to elect their President. The state of Mexico, Mexico City, as well as the state of Jalisco have the highest number of voters.
Similarly, according to the INE, at the end of February 2024, approximately 653,000 Mexicans abroad had the eligibility to participate in elections from abroad. The United States, Canada, Spain, Germany, and France are the five main countries that have provided certificates to Latin American country citizens to vote abroad.
In the graph below, we present the most relevant data on voters in Mexico.
Two women running for president
Claudia Sheinbaum, the presidential candidate of Let’s Keep Making History, the leftist coalition made up of the Morena, PT and PVEM parties, currently leads all polls with almost 60 percent of preferences.
Sheinbaum has committed to continuing the political project of current Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador.
In second place, far from the official candidate, is Xochitl Gálvez, standard-bearer of the opposition coalition Fuerza y Corazón por México, which brings together conservative parties (PAN), center-right (PRI) and left-wing. PRD).
In the following graph, we show the strongest parties competing for one of the nine governorships in Mexico.
Murray’s “vertiginous” evolution
“In these 10 years, the development of Morena has been amazing,” emphasizes Dr. Rosa Maria Miron Lins, professor-researcher at UNAM. Conceived and directed by Andrés Manuel López Obrador, the National Regeneration Movement (MURRENA) was founded in 2014.
“Four years after his birth, he won the presidency and over the next six years, he, together with his associates, won 23 of the 32 governorships present in the country,” the academic explains.
In his opinion, “The electoral success of this party is based on the dissemination of liberal social programs as well as the clearly populist speech of the President. Like all populist speech, the foundation of López Obrador’s speech is found in the extreme polarization of society.” .
According to Dr. Myron Lins, Xochitl Gálvez has been nominated by a coalition formed by three parties, which in the past concentrated the overwhelming majority of votes.
“These parties, which traditionally had markedly opposite positions, decided to join forces to confront Morena,” he explained, “Their political, economic and social offer is the opposite of that of the ruling party, especially From, exposes what it refers to.” War Violence and Drug Trafficking”.
(RML)
